UFC on FOX 12 Breakdown: Josh Thomson vs. Bobby Green

By the Numbers

Thomson has faced some of the toughest in the lightweight division and has mostly lived to tell the tale. He's 1-2 in a trilogy against perennial title contender Gilbert Melendez and holds notable wins over KJ Noons and Nate Diaz. Green has quietly amassed seven straight wins again some of the lower ranks in the top fifteen of the division and holds victories over the likes of Pat Healy, James Krause, and Jacob Volkmann.

Josh Thomson's wins are mostly evenly distributed with a slight edge going to submissions. Green is less likely to take the fight to the decision, though. Green's striking is quicker, more accurate, and he defends more shots than Thomson. On the ground, they're fairly even with Thomson preferring a more submission based offensive.

What's At Stake

Thomson was originally slated to face fellow rising lightweight Michael Johnson in what sounded like a fairly popcorn worthy match-up. The former Strikeforce champion was last seen dropping a close split decision to Benson Henderson, and before that he walked right through a few Stockton slaps to send Nate Diaz to sleepytown. But the injury bug struck again and Johnson was replaced by not-quite-as-up-and-coming contender Bobby Green.

Thanks to injury and UFC 176's cancellation, Bobby Green has been looking for a fight. Green is the underdog in this matchup who is stepping in on short notice to face a top ten fighter. The odds favor Thomson and he's the heavy favorite in this one. An upset would warrant Green another high caliber match-up, and one for Thomson would keep him floating about somewhere near the middle of the division.

Road to Victory

Both fighters will be looking to land the big shot in this one, and that advantage goes to Green. Green also holds a distinct advantage in that he does the Triple H water spit whereas Thomson merely stands triumphant in victory. Both fighters are quick, so speed and angles could be key in this, and Green's ground and pound has been instrumental in wearing a few opponents such as Volkmann down.

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